Matchup Machine

James Outman

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for James Outman

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Outman
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Model Prediction

James Outman has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 3.1% higher than Outman's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%20.9%4.2%5.4%11.3%12.5%29.2%
Outman+3.1+1.8+1.1+0.8-0.2+1.3-7.7
Lyles-0.2-3.3+0.8-0.4-3.7+3.1+11.0

Handedness and Release Point

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James Outman is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Outman has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. James Outman has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

20.1% of James Outman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.3% +0.8% 3%         Walk +4.1% -2.3% 45%         In Play -13.4% +1.5% 39%         On Base -0.3% -4.1% 31%         Hit -4.5% -1.7% 14%         Single -2.6% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years