Matchup Machine

James Outman

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

62nd out of 436 (Best 15%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for James Outman

196th out of 567 (Best 35%)

Leans in favor of Anderson
1

Model Prediction

James Outman has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.2% higher than Outman's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%18.4%3.0%4.8%10.7%14.2%35.8%
Outman+2.2-0.7-0.1+0.2-0.8+3.0-1.2
Anderson-1.2-3.8+0.1-0.4-3.5+2.7+14.2

Handedness and Release Point

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James Outman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Outman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. James Outman has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

20.1% of James Outman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.3% -1.9% 3%         Walk +4.1% -1.0% 45%         In Play -13.4% +2.9% 39%         On Base -0.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit -4.5% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.6% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.2%

History

James Outman has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →1.670.000.011.660.835
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-07Single1%66%33%
2023-07-07Single
2023-07-07Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.