Matchup Machine

James Outman

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matchup for Kyle Gibson

47th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Kyle Gibson

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matchup for James Outman

175th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Leans in favor of Outman
1

Model Prediction

James Outman has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Gibson, which is 2.2% higher than Outman's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Gibson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.5%19.5%2.8%5.0%11.6%13.0%32.9%
Outman+2.2+0.4-0.2+0.4+0.2+1.8-4.1
Gibson-1.7-4.00.0-0.2-3.8+2.3+13.5

Handedness and Release Point

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James Outman is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Kyle Gibson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Outman has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Kyle Gibson throws a Sinker 28% of the time. James Outman has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
19%
   4-Seam (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

20.1% of James Outman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Kyle Gibson strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.3% -2.5% 3%         Walk +4.1% -0.1% 45%         In Play -13.4% +2.6% 39%         On Base -0.3% +3.0% 31%         Hit -4.5% +3.1% 14%         Single -2.6% +1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +1.8% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years