Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kerry Carpenter

matchup for S. Woods Rich.

398th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Simeon Woods Rich.

matchup for Kerry Carpenter

50th out of 567 (Best 10%)

Extreme advantage for Carpenter

Kerry Carpenter has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 4.6% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	27.5%	5.7%	5.5%	16.3%	7.8%	24.4%
Carpenter	+4.6	+4.1	+1.6	-0.1	+2.6	+0.5	-5.5
Woods Rich.	+1.2	+3.0	+2.3	+0.5	+0.2	-1.8	+2.7

Kerry Carpenter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carpenter has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Kerry Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

30%

Changeup (R)

20%

Curve (R)

8% of Simeon Woods Rich.'s pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Kerry Carpenter has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

21% of Simeon Woods Rich.'s pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Kerry Carpenter has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 21%

+11%

High Ride 20%

+10%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+8%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

16.5% of Kerry Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.2% -3.3% 5%

Walk -1.5% +1.1% 40%

In Play -1.7% +2.2% 39%

On Base -4.2% +4.2% 31%

Hit -2.6% +3.1% 14%

Single -3.4% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% +1.3% 3%

Home Run +3.5% +1.0%

39.5% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.1% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -4.9% +0.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.7% 3%

Likely Homer +2.7% +0.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% +2.1% 3%

Pop up -2.1% +2.4%

22.8% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 17.3% of batted balls allowed by Simeon Woods Rich. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.5% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.6% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.0% +3.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% +6.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.5% -7.0%

13.1% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. 12.3% of batted balls allowed by Simeon Woods Rich. are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.0% -6.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.1% +0.1% 8%

1 to 6° -2.4% -3.0% 18%

7 to 18° +4.9% +0.7% 15%

19 to 28° -1.3% +2.3% 11%

29 to 38° +1.7% +0.9% 7%

39 to 50° -1.2% +2.9% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% +2.3%

Kerry Carpenter has 2 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.90	0.00	0.15	0.74			0.448

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-13	Strikeout
2024-04-13	Single		15%	74%	11%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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