Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kerry Carpenter

matchup for Ryan Weathers

90th out of 436 (Best 21%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Kerry Carpenter

494th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Strong advantage for Weathers

Kerry Carpenter has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.4% lower than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.2%	20.1%	2.8%	4.8%	12.5%	7.1%	33.6%
Carpenter	-3.4	-3.3	-1.3	-0.8	-1.1	-0.2	+3.7
Weathers	-2.7	-1.4	+0.7	-0.8	-1.4	-1.3	+8.9

Kerry Carpenter is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Carpenter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Kerry Carpenter hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Kerry Carpenter has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Kerry Carpenter has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

16.5% of Kerry Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.2% -2.1% 5%

Walk -1.5% -0.6% 40%

In Play -1.7% +2.7% 39%

On Base -4.2% +0.9% 31%

Hit -2.6% +1.5% 14%

Single -3.4% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +3.5% -0.5%

39.5% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.1% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -4.9% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +2.7% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -2.1% +1.2%

22.8% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.5% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.6% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.0% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.5% +1.1%

13.1% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%