Matchup Machine

Kerry Carpenter

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

172nd out of 436 (Best 40%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Kerry Carpenter

530th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Kerry Carpenter has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.6% lower than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.1%20.5%3.2%4.8%12.5%5.6%43.2%
Carpenter-4.6-2.9-0.9-0.8-1.1-1.7+13.3
Crochet-1.4-0.4+0.7-0.3-0.9-1.0+7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Kerry Carpenter is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Carpenter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Kerry Carpenter hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.5% of Kerry Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.2% +9.4% 5%         Walk -1.5% -1.3% 40%         In Play -1.7% -8.1% 39%         On Base -4.2% -3.9% 31%         Hit -2.6% -2.5% 14%         Single -3.4% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +3.5% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years