Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kerry Carpenter

matchup for Jack Flaherty

345th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

Jack Flaherty

matchup for Kerry Carpenter

76th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Extreme advantage for Carpenter

Kerry Carpenter has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.1% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.7%	25.2%	6.4%	6.2%	12.6%	7.5%	28.2%
Carpenter	+2.1	+1.9	+2.3	+0.6	-1.0	+0.2	-1.7
Flaherty	-1.5	+2.0	+2.8	+1.1	-1.9	-3.5	+5.4

Kerry Carpenter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Carpenter has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Kerry Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Kn-Curve (R)

18%

21% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Kerry Carpenter has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

45% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Kerry Carpenter has a D+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 45%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

16.5% of Kerry Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.2% +5.8% 5%

Walk -1.5% -1.5% 40%

In Play -1.7% -4.3% 39%

On Base -4.2% -2.0% 31%

Hit -2.6% -0.5% 14%

Single -3.4% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% -0.3% 3%

Home Run +3.5% -0.2%

39.5% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.1% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -4.9% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.7% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% -1.3% 3%

Pop up -2.1% -0.8%

22.8% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.5% +1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.6% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.0% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.5% -2.8%

13.1% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%