Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kerry Carpenter

matchup for Chris Bassitt

293rd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Chris Bassitt

matchup for Kerry Carpenter

168th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Strong advantage for Carpenter

Kerry Carpenter has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 4.1% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Bassitt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.8%	25.4%	3.7%	6.1%	15.5%	9.4%	30.0%
Carpenter	+4.1	+2.0	-0.4	+0.5	+1.9	+2.1	+0.1
Bassitt	-0.5	+1.1	+1.5	+1.0	-1.3	-1.6	+6.6

Kerry Carpenter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Carpenter has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Kerry Carpenter has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

38%

Cutter (R)

17%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Kerry Carpenter has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

33% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Kerry Carpenter has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 33%

+19%

Slow Lob 20%

+18%

Low Ride 39%

+15%

Fastball (R) 64%

+11%

16.5% of Kerry Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.2% -0.4% 5%

Walk -1.5% +0.1% 40%

In Play -1.7% +0.3% 39%

On Base -4.2% +1.5% 31%

Hit -2.6% +1.4% 14%

Single -3.4% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% +1.0% 3%

Home Run +3.5% -0.4%

39.5% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.1% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -4.9% +1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% +1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +2.7% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% -2.7% 3%

Pop up -2.1% -0.3%

22.8% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.5% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.6% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.0% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.5% -1.3%

13.1% of Kerry Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.0% +0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.1% +0.3% 8%

1 to 6° -2.4% +2.7% 18%

7 to 18° +4.9% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° -1.3% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +1.7% -0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -1.2% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% -0.9%

Kerry Carpenter has 5 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.12	0.00	0.00	0.12			0.024

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-09	Groundout
2023-07-09	Strikeout
2023-04-13	Groundout			12%	88%
2023-04-13	Strikeout
2023-04-13	Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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