Matchup Machine

Kerry Carpenter

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matchup for Austin Gomber

297th out of 436 (Worst 32%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Kerry Carpenter

135th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Strong advantage for Carpenter
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Model Prediction

Kerry Carpenter has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.0% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%26.8%5.1%6.0%15.7%4.8%23.1%
Carpenter+1.0+3.4+1.0+0.4+2.1-2.5-6.8
Gomber-0.1+0.9+1.8-0.6-0.2-1.0+5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Kerry Carpenter is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Carpenter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Kerry Carpenter hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.5% of Kerry Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.2% -3.3% 5%         Walk -1.5% -2.5% 40%         In Play -1.7% +5.9% 39%         On Base -4.2% +0.6% 31%         Hit -2.6% +3.1% 14%         Single -3.4% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +3.5% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years