Matchup Machine

Kerry Carpenter

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matchup for Patrick Corbin

142nd out of 436 (Best 33%)

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Patrick Corbin

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matchup for Kerry Carpenter

308th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Moderate advantage for Carpenter
3

Model Prediction

Kerry Carpenter has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Corbin, which is 0.8% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Corbin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%24.7%3.3%5.4%16.0%6.7%28.1%
Carpenter+0.8+1.3-0.9-0.2+2.4-0.6-1.8
Corbin-1.6-0.6+0.6-0.4-0.9-1.0+6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Kerry Carpenter is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Patrick Corbin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Carpenter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Patrick Corbin throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Kerry Carpenter hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
38%
   Slider (L)
34%
   4-Seam (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
5%
   Cutter (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

16.5% of Kerry Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Patrick Corbin strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.2% +2.1% 5%         Walk -1.5% -2.5% 40%         In Play -1.7% +0.4% 39%         On Base -4.2% -0.7% 31%         Hit -2.6% +1.8% 14%         Single -3.4% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +3.5% -0.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years