Matchup Machine

Kerry Carpenter

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matchup for Martin Perez

345th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Kerry Carpenter

81st out of 567 (Best 15%)

Extreme advantage for Carpenter
9

Model Prediction

Kerry Carpenter has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 4.7% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%26.1%4.1%5.9%16.1%9.2%22.1%
Carpenter+4.7+2.70.0+0.3+2.5+1.9-7.8
Perez+0.7+0.8+1.0+0.5-0.8-0.1+3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Kerry Carpenter is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carpenter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Kerry Carpenter hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.5% of Kerry Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.2% -6.1% 5%         Walk -1.5% -0.3% 40%         In Play -1.7% +6.4% 39%         On Base -4.2% +5.9% 31%         Hit -2.6% +6.3% 14%         Single -3.4% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +3.5% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years