matchup for Bryce Miller
matchup for Brooks Baldwin
6
Brooks Baldwin has a 25.6% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.4% lower than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Miller.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 25.6% | 20.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 29.9% |
| Baldwin | -1.4 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.5 | +0.1 | -0.6 | +4.9 |
| Miller | -3.6 | -0.2 | +0.5 | +0.1 | -0.8 | -3.4 | +0.0 |
Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
49%
Slider (R)
20%
Sinker (R)
13%
Splitter (R)
10%
8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
8%
+3%
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-2%
43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fast Velo
43%
+28%
High Ride
29%
+19%
Small Break
21%
+13%
Fastball (R)
64%
+10%
22.4% of Brooks Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
20%
Strikeout
+1.4%
+0.1%
7%
Walk
-3.2%
-2.5%
57%
In Play
+1.8%
+2.4%
39%
On Base
-6.9%
-3.1%
31%
Hit
-3.7%
-0.7%
14%
Single
-1.7%
-0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.3%
-0.3%
3%
Home Run
-0.7%
+0.5%
16.2% of Brooks Baldwin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 18.2% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 29.2% rate, which is 5.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+3.2%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-18.2%
-5.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
+4.7%
+2.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.1%
-0.9%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.6%
+1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.9%
+0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-3.6%
-1.4%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
-1.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+7.7%
+5.7%
3%
Pop up
+10.0%
-1.1%
20.3% of Brooks Baldwin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.4%
-2.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-7.5%
-3.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+19.1%
-0.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-5.2%
+5.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
-4.0%
+0.6%
11.7% of Brooks Baldwin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-7.7%
-0.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
-5.9%
-3.0%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.7%
+1.0%
18%
7 to 18°
-2.5%
+0.8%
15%
19 to 28°
-5.0%
-0.7%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.3%
-0.9%
7%
39 to 50°
+13.8%
+1.6%
8%
Above 50°
+7.8%
+1.9%
Brooks Baldwin has 2 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.028 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-07-28 | Double | 4% | 95% | ||
| 2024-07-28 | Flyout | 99% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
