Matchup Machine

Brooks Baldwin

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matchup for Carlos Rodon

97th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Carlos Rodon

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matchup for Brooks Baldwin

520th out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Strong advantage for Rodon
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Model Prediction

Brooks Baldwin has a 25.1% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Rodon, which is 2.1% lower than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Rodon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.1%18.4%2.6%4.1%11.7%6.7%37.7%
Baldwin-2.1-2.7-0.6-1.0-1.1+0.6+12.6
Rodon-3.5-2.0-0.3+0.0-1.7-1.5+3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Carlos Rodon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Rodon throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
56%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Changeup (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

22.7% of Brooks Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Carlos Rodon strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout +1.8% +5.5% 7%         Walk -3.2% +0.2% 57%         In Play +1.4% -5.7% 39%         On Base -8.2% -2.4% 31%         Hit -5.0% -2.6% 14%         Single -2.4% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% -1.5% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years