Matchup Machine

Brooks Baldwin

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matchup for Jorge Lopez

90th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Jorge Lopez

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matchup for Brooks Baldwin

369th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Lopez
4

Model Prediction

Brooks Baldwin has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Jorge Lopez, which is 0.2% higher than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Lopez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%21.8%2.8%4.1%14.9%5.2%24.7%
Baldwin-0.2+0.7-0.4-1.0+2.1-0.9-0.5
Lopez-3.5-0.8+0.2-0.6-0.3-2.7+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jorge Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Baldwin does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jorge Lopez throws a Sinker 26% of the time. Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
26%
   Kn-Curve (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Slider (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

22.7% of Brooks Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Jorge Lopez strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout +1.8% +0.2% 7%         Walk -3.2% -0.3% 57%         In Play +1.4% +0.1% 39%         On Base -8.2% +1.5% 31%         Hit -5.0% +1.8% 14%         Single -2.4% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years