Matchup Machine

Brooks Baldwin

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matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

86th out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Yusei Kikuchi

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matchup for Brooks Baldwin

522nd out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Strong advantage for Kikuchi
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Model Prediction

Brooks Baldwin has a 24.3% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 3.7% lower than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Kikuchi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.3%19.6%2.8%4.6%12.1%4.8%35.8%
Baldwin-3.7-2.3-0.3-0.5-1.5-1.4+11.6
Kikuchi-3.2-1.2+0.1-0.5-0.8-2.0+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
11%
   Cutter (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

22.7% of Brooks Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 21%         Strikeout +1.6% +4.3% 7%         Walk -2.9% -1.5% 58%         In Play +1.4% -2.8% 39%         On Base -8.2% -1.2% 31%         Hit -5.3% +0.3% 14%         Single -2.6% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years