Matchup Machine

Brooks Baldwin

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

88th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for Brooks Baldwin

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Baldwin
4

Model Prediction

Brooks Baldwin has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 2.3% higher than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.5%23.4%3.8%5.4%14.2%6.2%17.8%
Baldwin+2.3+2.2+0.6+0.3+1.4+0.1-7.3
Lyles-4.1-0.9+0.4-0.5-0.9-3.3-0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Brooks Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

22.7% of Brooks Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout +1.8% +0.8% 7%         Walk -3.2% -2.3% 57%         In Play +1.4% +1.5% 39%         On Base -8.2% -4.1% 31%         Hit -5.0% -1.7% 14%         Single -2.4% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years