Matchup Machine

Logan O'Hoppe

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matchup for Tanner Houck

254th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Logan O'Hoppe

229th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Leans in favor of O'Hoppe
2

Model Prediction

Logan O'Hoppe has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 2.2% higher than O'Hoppe's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%20.8%2.6%4.7%13.5%10.8%22.9%
O'Hoppe+2.2-0.3-1.3-0.5+1.5+2.5-9.1
Houck-0.1-1.3+0.5+0.3-2.1+1.2+3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Logan O'Hoppe is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. O'Hoppe has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Logan O'Hoppe has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

19.2% of Logan O'Hoppe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.7% -1.6% 5%         Walk -1.6% +0.2% 42%         In Play -6.0% +1.4% 39%         On Base -5.5% +0.4% 31%         Hit -3.9% +0.3% 14%         Single -3.5% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -3.0% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +2.6% -0.9%

History

Logan O'Hoppe has 7 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual771010200.143
Expected From Contact →0.940.180.360.400.134
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-12Groundout3%97%
2024-04-12Double18%33%3%46%
2024-04-12Groundout3%5%92%
2024-04-07Strikeout
2024-04-07GIDP28%71%
2023-04-14Strikeout
2023-04-14Pop Out99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.