matchup for Max Fried
matchup for Colton Cowser
6
Colton Cowser has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 0.9% lower than Cowser's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Fried.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.0% | 18.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 35.0% |
| Cowser | -0.9 | +0.1 | -0.8 | -0.6 | +1.5 | -1.0 | +1.8 |
| Fried | -3.4 | -4.3 | +0.0 | -0.4 | -4.0 | +0.9 | +8.7 |
Colton Cowser is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cowser doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Colton Cowser hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
35%
Curve (L)
23%
Slider (L)
17%
Sinker (L)
13%
Changeup (L)
11%
13% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Colton Cowser has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
13%
+4%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-2%
Meatball
1%
-4%
23% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Colton Cowser has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
23%
+19%
Slow Lob
18%
+14%
Medium Break
20%
+11%
Breaking (L)
40%
+11%
19.3% of Colton Cowser's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
11%
Strikeout
+7.9%
+3.0%
4%
Walk
+0.5%
-1.7%
43%
In Play
-8.4%
-1.3%
39%
On Base
-4.9%
+0.3%
31%
Hit
-5.5%
+2.0%
14%
Single
-3.5%
+1.7%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.1%
+1.7%
3%
Home Run
+1.2%
-1.4%
31.7% of Colton Cowser's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Max Fried induces Standard Grounders at a 46.2% rate, which is 11.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.5%
+0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.7%
+11.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.7%
+0.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.4%
-1.5%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.1%
+0.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.5%
-1.7%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.7%
-1.4%
1%
No Doubter
+1.4%
-0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
+2.6%
-6.2%
3%
Pop up
-1.0%
-0.8%
28.4% of Colton Cowser's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. 20.7% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-3.8%
+4.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.7%
+2.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.4%
-3.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.3%
-0.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
+4.1%
-3.6%
14.6% of Colton Cowser's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.1%
+8.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.5%
+1.7%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.1%
+0.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.6%
+0.7%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.8%
-3.7%
11%
29 to 38°
+3.2%
-1.3%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.4%
-2.3%
8%
Above 50°
-1.1%
-4.0%
Colton Cowser has 2 plate appearances against Max Fried in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.037 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-11 | Groundout | 7% | 93% | ||
| 2024-06-11 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
