Matchup Machine

Colton Cowser

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

114th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for Colton Cowser

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Cowser
3

Model Prediction

Colton Cowser has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 0.9% higher than Cowser's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%26.1%3.5%6.5%16.1%4.7%28.7%
Cowser+0.9+7.5+0.6+1.6+5.3-6.6-4.4
Mikolas-1.4-1.9+0.3-0.1-2.1+0.5+8.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Colton Cowser is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Cowser has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Colton Cowser has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.3% of Colton Cowser's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.8% -3.3% 4%         Walk +0.5% -3.9% 43%         In Play -8.4% +7.2% 39%         On Base -4.9% -0.6% 31%         Hit -5.4% +3.3% 14%         Single -3.5% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +1.8% 3%         Home Run +1.2% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years