Matchup Machine

Colton Cowser

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

50th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Colton Cowser

253rd out of 567 (Best 45%)

Leans in favor of Anderson
2

Model Prediction

Colton Cowser has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.8% higher than Cowser's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%17.2%2.6%4.7%9.9%14.5%32.2%
Cowser+1.8-1.4-0.3-0.2-0.9+3.2-0.9
Anderson-2.1-5.0-0.3-0.5-4.2+3.0+10.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Colton Cowser is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cowser doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Colton Cowser hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

19.3% of Colton Cowser's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.8% -1.9% 4%         Walk +0.5% -1.0% 43%         In Play -8.4% +2.9% 39%         On Base -4.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -5.4% +0.9% 14%         Single -3.5% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -0.2%

History

Colton Cowser has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-24Walk
2024-04-24Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.