Matchup Machine

Jonah Bride

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matchup for Taj Bradley

290th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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Taj Bradley

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matchup for Jonah Bride

295th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Leans in favor of Bride
2

Model Prediction

Jonah Bride has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.6% higher than Bride's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Bradley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%20.6%2.2%4.2%14.3%11.6%21.8%
Bride+0.6+0.3-0.1-0.3+0.7+0.3-0.2
Bradley+1.5-2.0-0.4-0.7-0.8+3.5-4.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonah Bride is much better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bride has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jonah Bride has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

12.4% of Jonah Bride's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.7% +3.2% 3%         Walk +3.3% +0.4% 39%         In Play +0.4% -3.5% 39%         On Base +3.5% -1.3% 31%         Hit +0.3% -1.6% 14%         Single +0.0% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +1.2%

History

Jonah Bride has 2 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100100.500
Expected From Contact →0.870.840.030.000.436
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-31Home Run84%3%13%
2024-07-31Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.