Matchup Machine

      Jonah Bride

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      matchup for Zach Eflin

      194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

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      Zach Eflin

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      matchup for Jonah Bride

      392nd out of 564 (Worst 31%)

      Leans in favor of Bride
      1

      Model Prediction

      Jonah Bride has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 4.1% lower than Bride's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Eflin.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Jonah Bride is much better vs right-handed pitching. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Bride has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Jonah Bride has a D+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      33%
         Curve (R)
      19%
         Cutter (R)
      16%
         Slider (R)
      13%
         4-Seam (R)
      10%
         Changeup (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.5% of Jonah Bride's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% +0.0% 3%         Walk +3.3% -4.0% 39%         In Play +0.2% +3.9% 39%         On Base +3.7% -3.8% 31%         Hit +0.4% +0.2% 14%         Single +0.1% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +0.0% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +0.1%

      History

      Jonah Bride has 2 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual211001011.000
      Expected From Contact →0.930.000.000.930.929
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-06-12Walk
      2023-06-12Single93%7%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.