Matchup Machine

Bryson Stott

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

387th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for Bryson Stott

239th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Strong advantage for Stott
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Model Prediction

Bryson Stott has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 0.4% higher than Stott's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.5%24.3%2.3%5.9%16.1%10.2%18.7%
Stott+0.4+0.5+0.3+0.7-0.50.0+0.6
Bibee+3.5+2.3-0.5+0.8+2.0+1.2-6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Bryson Stott is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Stott has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Bryson Stott has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Bryson Stott's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.1% +2.8% 4%         Walk +1.0% -1.3% 37%         In Play +6.1% -1.5% 39%         On Base +3.3% -1.1% 31%         Hit +2.2% +0.2% 14%         Single +1.6% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -1.2% +0.2%

History

Bryson Stott has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.110.000.020.090.036
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-22Forceout8%92%
2023-07-22Flyout98%
2023-07-22Flyout1%99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.