Matchup Machine

Bryson Stott

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matchup for Logan Webb

379th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Bryson Stott

197th out of 567 (Best 36%)

Strong advantage for Stott
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Model Prediction

Bryson Stott has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.4% higher than Stott's typical expectations, and 3.3% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%27.5%1.6%6.2%19.7%8.1%15.8%
Stott+1.4+3.6-0.5+1.0+3.1-2.2-2.4
Webb+3.3+2.7-0.9+1.0+2.6+0.6-6.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Bryson Stott is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stott has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Bryson Stott has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Bryson Stott's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.1% -0.8% 4%         Walk +1.0% -2.4% 37%         In Play +6.1% +3.2% 39%         On Base +3.3% +1.6% 31%         Hit +2.2% +4.0% 14%         Single +1.6% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -1.3%

History

Bryson Stott has 2 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual211010011.000
Expected From Contact →0.780.000.270.510.779
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-05Double27%51%22%
2024-05-05Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.