Matchup Machine

Bryson Stott

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matchup for Austin Gomber

344th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Bryson Stott

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Extreme advantage for Stott
9

Model Prediction

Bryson Stott has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.4% higher than Stott's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%27.3%2.9%6.5%17.9%6.4%13.8%
Stott-0.4+3.5+0.9+1.3+1.3-3.9-4.4
Gomber+2.0+1.4-0.5-0.1+2.0+0.6-4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Bryson Stott is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Stott has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Bryson Stott has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Bryson Stott's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.1% -3.3% 4%         Walk +1.0% -2.5% 37%         In Play +6.1% +5.9% 39%         On Base +3.3% +0.6% 31%         Hit +2.2% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.6% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.2% +0.3%

History

Bryson Stott has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →1.130.000.011.110.563
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-16Single
2024-04-16Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.