Matchup Machine

Brendan Donovan

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matchup for Max Meyer

357th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Max Meyer

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matchup for Brendan Donovan

220th out of 567 (Best 40%)

Strong advantage for Donovan
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Model Prediction

Brendan Donovan has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Max Meyer, which is 0.2% higher than Donovan's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Meyer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%24.7%2.7%5.8%16.2%9.0%10.2%
Donovan-0.2-0.6+0.3+0.2-1.1+0.4-3.2
Meyer+0.7+1.7-0.5+0.6+1.7-1.0-9.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Brendan Donovan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Max Meyer is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Donovan has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Max Meyer throws a Slider 39% of the time. Brendan Donovan has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
39%
   4-Seam (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
17%

Contact and Outcomes

7.3% of Brendan Donovan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% lower than the league average. Max Meyer strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.2% -3.9% 4%         Walk -0.4% -0.1% 34%         In Play +12.7% +4.0% 39%         On Base +7.9% -0.7% 31%         Hit +8.4% -0.6% 14%         Single +4.1% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +4.5% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +2.2%

History

Brendan Donovan has 3 plate appearances against Max Meyer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.420.000.020.400.138
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-07Groundout11%89%
2024-04-07Flyout98%
2024-04-07Groundout28%71%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.