Matchup Machine

Brendan Donovan

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matchup for Alex Speas

404th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Alex Speas

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matchup for Brendan Donovan

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Donovan
9

Model Prediction

Brendan Donovan has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 3.1% higher than Donovan's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Speas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.0%23.7%2.2%6.0%15.6%13.3%14.1%
Donovan+3.1-1.6-0.2+0.3-1.7+4.7+0.6
Speas+3.0+2.6-0.4+0.8+2.1+0.4-10.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Brendan Donovan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Donovan has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Brendan Donovan has a B+ grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
77%
   4-Seam (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

7.3% of Brendan Donovan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.2% +19.9% 4%         Walk -0.4% -0.6% 34%         In Play +12.7% -19.3% 39%         On Base +7.9% -8.2% 31%         Hit +8.4% -7.6% 14%         Single +4.1% -5.7% 13%         2B / 3B +4.5% -5.2% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +3.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years