Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brendan Donovan

matchup for Brad Keller

363rd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Brad Keller

matchup for Brendan Donovan

262nd out of 567 (Best 47%)

Strong advantage for Donovan

Brendan Donovan has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Brad Keller, which is 0.3% higher than Donovan's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Keller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.6%	25.1%	2.7%	5.2%	17.2%	8.5%	10.8%
Donovan	-0.3	-0.2	+0.3	-0.4	-0.1	-0.1	-2.7
Keller	+0.8	+2.4	-0.3	+0.3	+2.4	-1.6	-9.1

Brendan Donovan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brad Keller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Donovan has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Brad Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Brendan Donovan has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

34%

Sinker (R)

16%

13% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Brendan Donovan has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

Meatball 5%

-2%

39% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Brendan Donovan has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 39%

+16%

Small Break 25%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 27%

+12%

7.3% of Brendan Donovan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% lower than the league average. Brad Keller strikes out 11.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout -12.2% -5.3% 4%

Walk -0.4% +0.7% 34%

In Play +12.7% +4.6% 39%

On Base +7.9% +4.5% 31%

Hit +8.4% +3.8% 14%

Single +4.1% +2.0% 13%

2B / 3B +4.5% +2.3% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -0.5%

39.1% of Brendan Donovan's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Brad Keller induces Standard Grounders at a 42.2% rate, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.7% +7.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.6% -3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.0% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.4% -4.3% 3%

Pop up 0.0% -1.6%

19.7% of Brendan Donovan's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.2% -2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.9% -0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.6% +1.1%

11.9% of Brendan Donovan's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 9.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.8% +8.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.7% +0.7% 8%

1 to 6° -2.5% +0.4% 18%

7 to 18° +0.6% -3.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.7% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.0% 7%

39 to 50° -3.5% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° -1.3% -2.7%

Brendan Donovan has 3 plate appearances against Brad Keller in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00			0.006

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-03	Strikeout
2024-05-03	Pop Out				99%
2024-05-03	Flyout		1%		99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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