Matchup Machine

Brendan Donovan

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matchup for Chris Bassitt

390th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Chris Bassitt

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matchup for Brendan Donovan

147th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Extreme advantage for Donovan
9

Model Prediction

Brendan Donovan has a 37.8% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 3.9% higher than Donovan's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Bassitt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.8%28.5%1.9%4.9%21.7%9.3%13.6%
Donovan+3.9+3.2-0.5-0.7+4.4+0.7+0.1
Bassitt+2.6+4.2-0.4-0.3+4.9-1.6-9.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Brendan Donovan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Donovan has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Brendan Donovan has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

7.3% of Brendan Donovan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.2% -0.4% 4%         Walk -0.4% +0.1% 34%         In Play +12.7% +0.3% 39%         On Base +7.9% +1.5% 31%         Hit +8.4% +1.4% 14%         Single +4.1% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.5% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.4%

History

Brendan Donovan has 9 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 9 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual992101000.222
Expected From Contact →2.701.020.621.060.300
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-02Sac Fly21%46%33%
2023-04-02Flyout99%
2023-04-02Home Run81%12%1%6%
2022-05-19Field Error
2022-05-19Flyout99%
2022-05-19Single3%76%21%
2022-05-19Groundout3%97%
2022-04-26Groundout24%76%
2022-04-26Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.