Matchup Machine

      Brendan Donovan

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      matchup for Ross Stripling

      286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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      Ross Stripling

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      matchup for Brendan Donovan

      108th out of 564 (Best 20%)

      Extreme advantage for Donovan
      9

      Model Prediction

      Brendan Donovan has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 0.2% higher than Donovan's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Stripling.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Brendan Donovan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Donovan has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Brendan Donovan has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      37%
         Slider (R)
      21%
         Changeup (R)
      19%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      16%
         Sinker (R)
      5%

      Contact and Outcomes

      7.1% of Brendan Donovan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.5% lower than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.5% +3.2% 4%         Walk -0.4% -2.9% 34%         In Play +13.0% -0.3% 39%         On Base +8.0% -3.9% 31%         Hit +8.4% -0.9% 14%         Single +4.0% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +4.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.1%

      History

      Brendan Donovan has 4 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual441001100.250
      Expected From Contact →0.620.000.140.480.154
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-15Lineout12%3%85%
      2024-04-15Groundout2%33%65%
      2024-04-15Strikeout
      2022-05-24Single12%88%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.