Matchup Machine

      Zack Gelof

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      matchup for Garrett Crochet

      15th out of 436 (Best 4%)

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      Garrett Crochet

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      matchup for Zack Gelof

      550th out of 564 (Worst 3%)

      Extreme advantage for Crochet
      10

      Model Prediction

      Zack Gelof has a 22.0% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 6.3% lower than Gelof's typical expectations, and 5.4% lower than batters facing Crochet.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Zack Gelof is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Gelof doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Zack Gelof has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      58%
         Cutter (L)
      18%
         Slider (L)
      16%
         Changeup (L)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      20.6% of Zack Gelof's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.2% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +10.2% +9.4% 5%         Walk -1.4% -1.3% 43%         In Play -8.7% -8.1% 39%         On Base -5.7% -3.9% 31%         Hit -4.3% -2.6% 14%         Single -2.5% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.3% 0.0%

      History

      Zack Gelof has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221010100.500
      Expected From Contact →0.890.160.720.010.444
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-09-13Strikeout
      2024-09-13Double16%72%11%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.