Matchup Machine

Zack Gelof

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matchup for JP Sears

65th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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JP Sears

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matchup for Zack Gelof

212th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Leans in favor of Sears
2

Model Prediction

Zack Gelof has a 26.4% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 1.8% lower than Gelof's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Sears.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.4%21.2%4.2%5.9%11.1%5.2%27.0%
Gelof-1.8-0.1+1.1+0.9-2.1-1.7-5.2
Sears-3.3-1.4+0.7-0.1-1.9-2.0+8.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Zack Gelof is much worse vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gelof doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Zack Gelof has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
33%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Sinker (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.6% of Zack Gelof's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +10.2% -2.6% 5%         Walk -1.4% -1.1% 43%         In Play -8.7% +3.7% 39%         On Base -5.7% -2.6% 31%         Hit -4.3% -1.5% 14%         Single -2.5% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +1.2%

History

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