Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Zack Gelof

matchup for Logan Gilbert

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Logan Gilbert

matchup for Zack Gelof

514th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Extreme advantage for Gilbert

Zack Gelof has a 22.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 5.6% lower than Gelof's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Gilbert.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	22.7%	18.8%	3.8%	4.0%	11.0%	3.9%	46.6%
Gelof	-5.6	-2.6	+0.7	-1.0	-2.2	-3.0	+14.2
Gilbert	-2.1	-0.5	+0.9	-0.2	-1.2	-1.6	+9.8

Zack Gelof is much better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gelof has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Zack Gelof has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

29%

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

14% of Logan Gilbert's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Zack Gelof has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

35% of Logan Gilbert's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Zack Gelof has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 35%

+16%

Very Fast Velo 22%

+14%

High Ride 20%

+10%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

20.6% of Zack Gelof's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

10%

Strikeout +10.1% +4.3% 5%

Walk -1.4% -4.1% 43%

In Play -8.7% -0.1% 39%

On Base -5.7% -7.8% 31%

Hit -4.3% -3.7% 14%

Single -2.5% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B -2.1% -2.0% 3%

Home Run +0.3% +0.5%

35.4% of Zack Gelof's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.3% +1.0% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.9% 9%

Rising Liner -2.0% +2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.0% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.4% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.4% +2.7% 3%

Pop up +0.7% +0.9%

23.2% of Zack Gelof's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 26.1% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gilbert are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% -1.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -4.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% +2.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.1% +1.8%

11.8% of Zack Gelof's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 9.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gilbert are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.8% -4.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.6% +2.1% 8%

1 to 6° -1.7% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° -2.7% +1.8% 15%

19 to 28° +0.3% -1.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.4% -2.2% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% +0.3% 8%

Above 50° +1.5% +2.7%

Zack Gelof has 6 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	1	0	1	2	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.48	0.68	0.28	0.51			0.246

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-29	Strikeout
2024-09-29	Flyout				100%
2024-09-02	Groundout			46%	54%
2024-09-02	Strikeout
2024-06-05	Single		2%	4%	94%
2024-06-05	Home Run	68%	26%		5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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