Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Zack Gelof

matchup for Corbin Burnes

83rd out of 436 (Best 20%)

Corbin Burnes

matchup for Zack Gelof

370th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Strong advantage for Burnes

Zack Gelof has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 0.8% lower than Gelof's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Burnes.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.4%	21.3%	2.6%	4.3%	14.3%	6.1%	32.0%
Gelof	-0.8	-0.1	-0.5	-0.7	+1.1	-0.7	-0.2
Burnes	-2.4	-0.6	+0.2	0.0	-0.8	-1.8	+8.9

Zack Gelof is much better vs right-handed pitching. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gelof has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Zack Gelof hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

52%

Curve (R)

19%

Slider (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

24% of Corbin Burnes's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Zack Gelof has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 24%

+4%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

47% of Corbin Burnes's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Zack Gelof has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 47%

+23%

Fast Velo 36%

+21%

Small Break 31%

+20%

20.6% of Zack Gelof's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

10%

Strikeout +10.2% +3.2% 5%

Walk -1.4% -1.6% 43%

In Play -8.7% -1.6% 39%

On Base -5.7% -3.4% 31%

Hit -4.3% -1.8% 14%

Single -2.5% -0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -2.1% -0.2% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -0.8%

35.2% of Zack Gelof's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes induces Standard Grounders at a 40.0% rate, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.1% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -1.8% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -2.1% -1.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.1% -1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.4% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.4% -2.7% 3%

Pop up +0.5% 0.0%

23.4% of Zack Gelof's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Corbin Burnes are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% +2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.1% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% +2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -4.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.9% -0.6%

12.0% of Zack Gelof's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Corbin Burnes are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%