Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Zack Gelof

matchup for Logan Webb

225th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Zack Gelof

127th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Leans in favor of Gelof

Zack Gelof has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 3.8% higher than Gelof's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	25.3%	2.6%	5.6%	17.1%	6.8%	27.2%
Gelof	+3.8	+3.9	-0.5	+0.5	+3.8	-0.1	-5.0
Webb	-0.2	+0.5	+0.2	+0.4	-0.1	-0.7	+5.2

Zack Gelof is much better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gelof has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Zack Gelof has an F grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Zack Gelof has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Zack Gelof has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

20.6% of Zack Gelof's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

10%

Strikeout +10.2% -0.8% 5%

Walk -1.4% -2.4% 43%

In Play -8.7% +3.2% 39%

On Base -5.7% +1.6% 31%

Hit -4.3% +4.0% 14%

Single -2.5% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.1% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -1.3%

35.2% of Zack Gelof's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.1% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.8% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -2.1% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.1% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.4% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.4% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -1.4%

23.4% of Zack Gelof's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.1% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.9% +3.6%

12.0% of Zack Gelof's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.5% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.4% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -3.0% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.6% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.6% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +1.2% -5.1%

Zack Gelof has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.54	0.00	0.01	0.53			0.181

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-31	Strikeout
2024-07-31	Groundout			23%	77%
2024-07-31	Groundout		1%	30%	69%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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