Matchup Machine

      Zack Gelof

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      matchup for Dakota Hudson

      90th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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      Dakota Hudson

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      matchup for Zack Gelof

      26th out of 564 (Best 5%)

      Strong advantage for Gelof
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      Model Prediction

      Zack Gelof has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Dakota Hudson, which is 6.3% higher than Gelof's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Hudson.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Zack Gelof is much better vs right-handed pitching. Dakota Hudson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Gelof has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Dakota Hudson throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Zack Gelof has an F grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      41%
         Slider (R)
      26%
         4-Seam (R)
      17%
         Curve (R)
      12%

      Contact and Outcomes

      20.6% of Zack Gelof's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. Dakota Hudson strikes out 10.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +10.2% -7.7% 5%         Walk -1.4% +3.2% 43%         In Play -8.7% +4.5% 39%         On Base -5.7% +4.8% 31%         Hit -4.3% +1.6% 14%         Single -2.5% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -1.0%

      History

      Zack Gelof has 3 plate appearances against Dakota Hudson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual330000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.220.000.020.190.072
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-08-15Strikeout
      2023-08-15Groundout15%85%
      2023-08-15Flyout2%5%93%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.