Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Zack Gelof

matchup for Aaron Nola

70th out of 436 (Best 17%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Zack Gelof

397th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Zack Gelof has a 25.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.4% lower than Gelof's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.8%	21.0%	3.3%	6.2%	11.4%	4.9%	39.7%
Gelof	-2.4	-0.4	+0.2	+1.2	-1.8	-2.0	+7.5
Nola	-3.7	-1.4	+0.3	0.0	-1.7	-2.2	+8.9

Zack Gelof is much better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Gelof has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Zack Gelof hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Zack Gelof has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Zack Gelof hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

20.6% of Zack Gelof's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

10%

Strikeout +10.2% +6.3% 5%

Walk -1.4% -2.8% 43%

In Play -8.7% -3.5% 39%

On Base -5.7% -4.8% 31%

Hit -4.3% -2.0% 14%

Single -2.5% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.1% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -0.5%

35.2% of Zack Gelof's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.8% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.1% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.1% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.4% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.4% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -0.7%

23.4% of Zack Gelof's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.1% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.9% -0.7%

12.0% of Zack Gelof's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%