Matchup Machine

Henry Davis

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matchup for Zach Eflin

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Zach Eflin

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matchup for Henry Davis

235th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Eflin
5

Model Prediction

Henry Davis has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 1.5% lower than Davis's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Eflin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.1%20.0%2.8%5.2%11.9%6.1%29.0%
Davis-1.5+2.6+0.5+0.9+1.2-4.2-6.4
Eflin-3.3-3.2-0.3-0.3-2.5-0.1+9.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Henry Davis is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Davis has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Henry Davis has an F grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
33%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
16%
   Slider (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

22.2% of Henry Davis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% higher than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.7% 0.0% 4%         Walk +1.8% -4.0% 48%         In Play -10.6% +4.0% 39%         On Base -5.3% -3.7% 31%         Hit -7.1% +0.2% 14%         Single -3.3% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.9% +0.0% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years