Matchup Machine

Henry Davis

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matchup for Blake Treinen

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Blake Treinen

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matchup for Henry Davis

497th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Extreme advantage for Treinen
9

Model Prediction

Henry Davis has a 24.6% chance of reaching base vs Blake Treinen, which is 3.0% lower than Davis's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Treinen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.6%14.3%2.5%2.8%9.0%10.3%44.5%
Davis-3.0-3.0+0.2-1.5-1.70.0+9.2
Treinen-2.5-3.8-0.1-0.5-3.2+1.4+12.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Henry Davis is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Blake Treinen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Davis doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Blake Treinen throws a Sinker 43% of the time. Henry Davis has an F grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
43%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

22.2% of Henry Davis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% higher than the league average. Blake Treinen strikes out 21.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.7% +7.1% 4%         Walk +1.8% -0.5% 48%         In Play -10.6% -6.6% 39%         On Base -5.3% -4.3% 31%         Hit -7.1% -3.8% 14%         Single -3.3% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.9% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -1.3%

History

Henry Davis has 1 plate appearance against Blake Treinen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-06Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.