Matchup Machine

Ryan Jeffers

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

305th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for Ryan Jeffers

255th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Moderate advantage for Jeffers
4

Model Prediction

Ryan Jeffers has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 0.3% higher than Jeffers's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.3%23.3%3.0%5.9%14.3%7.1%19.5%
Jeffers-0.3+0.1+0.4+0.4-0.6-0.4-1.2
Bibee-0.8+1.2+0.2+0.8+0.2-2.0-5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan Jeffers is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Jeffers has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Ryan Jeffers has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

12.4% of Ryan Jeffers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% +2.8% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.3% 38%         In Play +4.9% -1.5% 39%         On Base -1.1% -1.1% 31%         Hit +0.2% +0.2% 14%         Single -0.6% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.2%

History

Ryan Jeffers has 5 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000300.000
Expected From Contact →0.520.000.010.510.104
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-19Strikeout
2024-05-19GIDP51%48%
2024-05-19Pop Out100%
2023-08-30Strikeout
2023-08-30Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.