Matchup Machine

Ryan Jeffers

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matchup for M. Rodriguez

283rd out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Manuel Rodriguez

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matchup for Ryan Jeffers

373rd out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Leans in favor of Jeffers
1

Model Prediction

Ryan Jeffers has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 0.9% higher than Jeffers's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%22.1%1.7%4.4%16.0%9.3%20.3%
Jeffers+0.9-1.0-0.9-1.1+1.0+1.8-0.4
Rodriguez+0.1+0.8-0.2-0.2+1.1-0.6-4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan Jeffers is worse vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jeffers has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Ryan Jeffers has a B- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
39%
   Sinker (R)
38%
   4-Seam (R)
23%

Contact and Outcomes

12.4% of Ryan Jeffers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% -0.9% 5%         Walk -1.3% -0.7% 38%         In Play +4.9% +1.6% 39%         On Base -1.1% -3.4% 31%         Hit +0.2% -2.7% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.0% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years