Matchup Machine

Ryan Jeffers

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matchup for Erick Fedde

194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Erick Fedde

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matchup for Ryan Jeffers

278th out of 567 (Best 50%)

Moderate advantage for Jeffers
3

Model Prediction

Ryan Jeffers has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 0.9% lower than Jeffers's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Fedde.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%23.4%2.8%5.5%15.1%6.3%16.4%
Jeffers-0.9+0.3+0.20.0+0.2-1.2-4.2
Fedde-2.4+0.5+0.2+0.1+0.1-2.9-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan Jeffers is worse vs right-handed pitching. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jeffers has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Ryan Jeffers has a B- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Changeup (R)
8%
   Slider (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.4% of Ryan Jeffers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% -0.7% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.3% 38%         In Play +4.9% +2.1% 39%         On Base -1.1% +0.7% 31%         Hit +0.2% +2.1% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +1.3% 3%         Home Run +1.0% 0.0%

History

Ryan Jeffers has 3 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual320000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.010.000.006
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-25Flyout99%
2024-08-25Pop Out100%
2024-08-25Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.