Ryan Jeffers has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 2.9% lower than Jeffers's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Kikuchi.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 28.5% | 22.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 24.2% |
Jeffers | -2.9 | -1.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -1.3 | -1.8 | +3.0 |
Kikuchi | +1.9 | +1.8 | +0.6 | +0.8 | +0.3 | +0.1 | -5.4 |
Ryan Jeffers is better vs left-handed pitching. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Jeffers has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Ryan Jeffers has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
7% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ryan Jeffers has an F grade against this type of pitch.
28% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Ryan Jeffers has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
12.3% of Ryan Jeffers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
33.7% of Ryan Jeffers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi induces Standard Grounders at a 36.5% rate, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
28.2% of Ryan Jeffers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. 28.0% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
10.0% of Ryan Jeffers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Ryan Jeffers has 9 plate appearances against Yusei Kikuchi in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 9 with 3 strikeouts.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.85 | 0.17 | 1.01 | 0.68 | 0.206 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-10 | Groundout | 3% | 97% | ||
2024-05-10 | Flyout | 99% | |||
2024-05-10 | Lineout | 28% | 43% | 29% | |
2023-10-04 | Groundout | 20% | 80% | ||
2023-06-09 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-06-09 | Strikeout | ||||
2022-06-03 | Lineout | 16% | 73% | 1% | 10% |
2022-06-03 | Strikeout | ||||
2022-06-03 | Pickoff 2B |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.