Matchup Machine

      Ryan Jeffers

      sometext

      matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

      391st out of 436 (Worst 11%)

      sometext

      Yusei Kikuchi

      sometext

      matchup for Ryan Jeffers

      449th out of 564 (Worst 21%)

      Leans in favor of Kikuchi
      1

      Model Prediction

      Ryan Jeffers has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 2.9% lower than Jeffers's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Kikuchi.

      Handedness and Release Point

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Ryan Jeffers is better vs left-handed pitching. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Jeffers has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

      Left Arrow
      Show Vertical Release

      On the Way to the Plate

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Ryan Jeffers has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      44%
         Slider (L)
      24%
         Changeup (L)
      11%
         Curve (L)
      11%
         Cutter (L)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.3% of Ryan Jeffers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% +4.3% 5%         Walk -0.6% -1.4% 38%         In Play +4.5% -2.9% 39%         On Base -0.5% -0.9% 31%         Hit +0.2% +0.5% 14%         Single -0.5% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.2%

      History

      Ryan Jeffers has 9 plate appearances against Yusei Kikuchi in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 9 with 3 strikeouts.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual990000300.000
      Expected From Contact →1.850.171.010.680.206
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-10Groundout3%97%
      2024-05-10Flyout99%
      2024-05-10Lineout28%43%29%
      2023-10-04Groundout20%80%
      2023-06-09Strikeout
      2023-06-09Strikeout
      2022-06-03Lineout16%73%1%10%
      2022-06-03Strikeout
      2022-06-03Pickoff 2B

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.