Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarren Duran

matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

324th out of 436 (Worst 26%)

Brandon Pfaadt

matchup for Jarren Duran

319th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Moderate advantage for Duran

Jarren Duran has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 0.1% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Pfaadt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.4%	25.7%	3.8%	6.1%	15.7%	6.8%	27.9%
Duran	-0.1	+1.6	+0.4	+0.2	+1.0	-1.7	+5.6
Pfaadt	0.0	+1.2	+0.7	+0.9	-0.4	-1.2	-1.2

Jarren Duran is better vs right-handed pitching. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Duran has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jarren Duran has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

19% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 29%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Large Break 15%

+10%

12.8% of Jarren Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% +1.2% 5%

Walk -1.3% -2.4% 38%

In Play +4.3% +1.2% 39%

On Base +1.3% -0.1% 31%

Hit +2.6% +2.4% 14%

Single +0.9% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% +0.9% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +1.0%

40.9% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt induces Standard Grounders at a 32.0% rate, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.5% -2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.4% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.8% +2.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.7% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +0.9% 3%

Pop up -0.7% -1.0%

28.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.0% -5.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.3% +5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.0% -4.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.6% +4.8%

9.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at this angle, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%