Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarren Duran

matchup for Hunter Gaddis

394th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

Hunter Gaddis

matchup for Jarren Duran

425th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Duran

Jarren Duran has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 3.2% lower than Duran's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.3%	21.5%	3.7%	5.4%	12.4%	7.8%	23.5%
Duran	-3.2	-2.5	+0.3	-0.5	-2.4	-0.7	+1.2
Gaddis	+1.9	+2.1	+0.6	+0.9	+0.6	-0.2	-3.6

Jarren Duran is better vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Duran has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Jarren Duran has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

39%

Slider (R)

31%

Changeup (R)

18%

Cutter (R)

13% of Hunter Gaddis's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-2%

22% of Hunter Gaddis's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 22%

+11%

12.8% of Jarren Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% -0.6% 5%

Walk -1.3% -1.7% 38%

In Play +4.3% +2.4% 39%

On Base +1.3% -5.5% 31%

Hit +2.6% -3.8% 14%

Single +0.9% -2.8% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -2.4% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +1.5%

40.9% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Hunter Gaddis induces Standard Grounders at a 28.1% rate, which is 6.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.5% -6.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.4% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -2.8% +1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% -4.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.7% +1.0% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% +2.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +5.6% 3%

Pop up -0.7% +3.4%

28.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Gaddis are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.0% +1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.3% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.0% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.6% +0.5%

9.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. 13.5% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Gaddis are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.4% -5.4% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.3% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° +2.0% -2.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.4% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° -3.1% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -2.4% +2.1% 7%

39 to 50° -3.0% +3.4% 8%

Above 50° -0.7% +7.8%

Jarren Duran has 1 plate appearance against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.41	0.00	0.00	0.41			0.412

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-25	Single			41%	59%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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