Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarren Duran

matchup for Taj Bradley

347th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

Taj Bradley

matchup for Jarren Duran

390th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Duran

Jarren Duran has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.8% lower than Duran's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Bradley.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	24.5%	2.8%	5.9%	15.8%	7.2%	23.8%
Duran	-0.8	+0.4	-0.6	0.0	+1.0	-1.3	+1.5
Bradley	+1.0	+1.9	+0.2	+1.0	+0.7	-0.9	-2.6

Jarren Duran is better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Duran has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jarren Duran has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

24%

Splitter (R)

15%

Curve (R)

12%

Changeup (R)

15% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

36% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+17%

Very Fast Velo 24%

+15%

Fastball (R) 68%

+14%

High Ride 24%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

12.8% of Jarren Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% +3.2% 5%

Walk -1.3% +0.4% 38%

In Play +4.3% -3.5% 39%

On Base +1.3% -1.3% 31%

Hit +2.6% -1.6% 14%

Single +0.9% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +1.2%

40.9% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Taj Bradley induces Standard Grounders at a 32.6% rate, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.5% -1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.4% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.8% -4.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% +2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.7% +1.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% +3.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% -2.0% 3%

Pop up -0.7% +1.4%

28.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 29.5% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.0% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.3% -2.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.0% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.6% +5.2%

9.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.4% -1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.3% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +2.0% -0.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.4% +0.7% 15%

19 to 28° -3.1% -1.2% 11%

29 to 38° -2.4% +2.3% 7%

39 to 50° -3.0% -3.8% 8%

Above 50° -0.7% +2.3%

Jarren Duran has 12 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 12 with 2 doubles and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	12	4	0	2	2	3	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			3.45	1.10	0.66	1.69			0.287

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-27	Groundout			15%	85%
2024-09-27	Strikeout
2024-09-27	Single		3%	48%	49%
2024-05-20	Groundout			22%	77%
2024-05-20	Strikeout
2024-05-20	Triple	44%	15%		40%
2024-05-15	Double	49%	36%		15%
2024-05-15	Flyout	17%	10%		73%
2024-05-15	Hit By Pitch
2023-06-04	Pop Out				99%
2023-06-04	Single		1%	82%	17%
2023-06-04	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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