Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarren Duran

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

423rd out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Jarren Duran

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Duran

Jarren Duran has a 38.1% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 5.6% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.1%	28.6%	4.4%	7.0%	17.2%	9.5%	18.6%
Duran	+5.6	+4.6	+1.0	+1.1	+2.4	+1.0	-3.7
Rodriguez	+2.9	+4.0	+1.4	+1.1	+1.5	-1.1	-3.0

Jarren Duran is better vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Jarren Duran has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

12.8% of Jarren Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% +6.5% 5%

Walk -1.3% +4.1% 38%

In Play +4.3% -10.5% 39%

On Base +1.3% +8.4% 31%

Hit +2.6% +4.3% 14%

Single +0.9% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +3.7%

40.9% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.5% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.4% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.8% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.7% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +0.7% 3%

Pop up -0.7% +0.9%

28.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.0% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.3% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.0% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.6% +10.4%

9.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%