Matchup Machine

Jarren Duran

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matchup for Tanner Houck

320th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Jarren Duran

374th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Moderate advantage for Duran
4

Model Prediction

Jarren Duran has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.3% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%23.0%2.1%5.1%15.8%9.8%18.5%
Duran+0.3-1.0-1.2-0.8+1.0+1.3-3.8
Houck+1.1+0.9+0.0+0.7+0.2+0.2-1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jarren Duran is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Duran has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Jarren Duran has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Jarren Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% -1.6% 5%         Walk -1.3% +0.2% 38%         In Play +4.3% +1.4% 39%         On Base +1.3% +0.4% 31%         Hit +2.6% +0.3% 14%         Single +0.9% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years