Matchup Machine

Jarren Duran

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

373rd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Jarren Duran

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Duran
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Model Prediction

Jarren Duran has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 2.6% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.2%25.0%3.2%6.8%15.1%10.1%22.8%
Duran+2.6+1.0-0.2+0.9+0.3+1.6+0.6
Duffey+1.1+2.4+0.6+1.5+0.3-1.3-1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Jarren Duran is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Duran has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Jarren Duran hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Jarren Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +3.7% 5%         Walk -1.3% -2.4% 38%         In Play +4.3% -1.3% 39%         On Base +1.3% -5.5% 31%         Hit +2.6% -3.1% 14%         Single +0.9% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years