matchup for Carson Fulmer
matchup for Jarren Duran
9
Jarren Duran has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 2.1% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Fulmer.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.1% | 26.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 16.4% | 8.7% | 18.9% |
| Duran | +2.1 | +2.0 | +0.4 | +0.3 | +1.2 | +0.1 | -4.3 |
| Fulmer | +1.7 | +2.6 | +0.8 | +0.6 | +1.2 | -1.0 | -2.7 |
Jarren Duran is better vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Duran has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.
Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Jarren Duran has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
37%
Changeup (R)
20%
Cutter (R)
15%
Sinker (R)
11%
Curve (R)
9%
Slider (R)
8%
8% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
8%
+2%
Non-Competitive
14%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+0%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
-1%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
33% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Jarren Duran has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Fast Velo
33%
+18%
Offspeed (R)
20%
+9%
Fastball (R)
62%
+8%
12.8% of Jarren Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-3.0%
-2.6%
5%
Walk
-1.3%
+2.5%
38%
In Play
+4.3%
+0.1%
39%
On Base
+1.3%
+3.9%
31%
Hit
+2.6%
+1.4%
14%
Single
+0.9%
+0.6%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.3%
+0.6%
3%
Home Run
+0.4%
+0.1%
40.9% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.4%
-0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
+6.5%
-0.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+2.4%
+1.9%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.8%
-1.2%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.3%
-2.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.7%
-0.6%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.6%
+0.9%
1%
No Doubter
-0.5%
+0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.0%
+3.9%
3%
Pop up
-0.7%
-2.4%
28.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.6%
-4.1%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.0%
+1.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.3%
-1.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.0%
+3.7%
24%
Above 100 mph
+3.6%
+0.6%
9.0% of Jarren Duran's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+4.4%
+1.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
+3.3%
-1.9%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.0%
+2.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.4%
-2.0%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.1%
+0.2%
11%
29 to 38°
-2.4%
+0.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-3.0%
+2.2%
8%
Above 50°
-0.7%
-1.6%
Jarren Duran has 1 plate appearance against Carson Fulmer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.151 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-04-13 | Groundout | 15% | 85% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
